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Day June 26, 2012

5by5 | The Web Ahead #24: Jobs the Web Does with Horace Dediu

Today I was a guest on Jen Simmons’ The Web Ahead. It was a chance to discuss some of the big questions facing the Web in general especially vis-à-vis apps and mobile in general.

How can we understand the business of the web? Horace Dediu joins Jen to talk about the web through the lens of disruption theory, discussing innovation and jobs to be done. Along the way we get into advertisement on the web, and the old website vs native app debate.

via 5by5 | The Web Ahead #24: Jobs the Web Does with Horace Dediu.

What will happen to Nokia?

There is no shortage of information about what happens to companies in distress. The cause of distress varies widely and is often not well understood but the actions and symptoms of distress are very consistent. We can look at examples in each industry, even in each product category for a rich set of distressed company data.

For over a year I’ve been chronicling the decline of incumbents in the mobile phone industry. However, decline cannot continue indefinitely. At some point a company “exits” the industry. Either through a sale or divestiture or, rarely bankruptcy. The list of exits is already long. The length and the correlation between exit and the lack of recovery implies that Nokia will also exit.

But how, exactly?

Will Nokia be acquired? If so, then by whom? What other options exist? How can we analyze this?